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As top US military officials in the Pentagon watch the hot war unfold in Ukraine, a new era of economic warfare is underway. It's being waged by lawyers, accountants, economists & financial wizz kids.

Source : PortMac.News | Retail :

Source : PortMac.News | Retail | News Story:

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'Nerd warriors' US Treasury waging economic war on Russia
As top US military officials in the Pentagon watch the hot war unfold in Ukraine, a new era of economic warfare is underway. It's being waged by lawyers, accountants, economists & financial wizz kids.

News Story Summary:

Three months into US-led sanctions designed to crush Russia's economy for its war in Ukraine, Russia has appeared surprisingly resilient.

The ruble has rebounded and is now worth more than before the invasion.

The Kremlin's coffers are overflowing from record oil and gas sales.

Even McDonald's has reopened in Russia, rebranded under a Siberian billionaire's ownership. Meanwhile, Russia's military continues to hammer away at Ukraine with a steady supply of tanks and artillery.

But inside the Treasury Department, teams of sanctions experts view that resilience as a mirage.

Top Treasury Department officials say they remain confident the sanctions are working and that beneath the surface, a much more dire story is unfolding within Russia's economy, where they contend real and lasting damage is being inflicted.

"The US government has watched a narrative of 'Look at Russia -- look at the high value of the ruble, wow, Russia has really got these sanctions beat!' and we've been like, 'No!' That's the wrong message to take,'" said a senior Treasury official, detailing the months of work they have spent crafting sanctions against Russia.

As top US military officials in the Pentagon watch the hot war unfold in Ukraine, a new era of economic warfare is underway. It's being waged by government lawyers, accountants, economists and finance whizzes toiling away in secure rooms lining the bowels of the Treasury Building and in the quiet confines of offices accessible by an underground tunnel just across Pennsylvania Avenue.

"They're like our nerd warriors," one senior administration official said with a bemused grin.

Compared with splashy moves like seizing oligarchs' yachts and sanctioning President Vladimir Putin's alleged girlfriend, the complicated maneuvers intended to destroy the pillars of Russia's economy have come with relatively little fanfare.

As the Kremlin has moved to tout signs of economic stability, Treasury officials have taken more aggressive actions, including a series of subtle steps late last month that froze trading in Russian bonds and will almost certainly lead Moscow to default on its government debt for the first time since the Russian Revolution in 1918.

Still, Putin continues to suggest the sanctions aren't working, saying in a speech on Friday that the West's attempts to "Crush" the Russian economy "Were not successful."

"There's been a lot of energy to say this is all artifice," said Andrea Gacki, director of the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Asset Control, which serves as the tip of the spear for US economic statecraft.

"But it's all smoke and mirrors," Gacki said in an interview from her office overlooking Lafayette Square. "All the real indicators show weakness."

'Zero day' arrives:

Just before midnight on February 23, not long before the first Russian missiles began landing across Ukraine, Elizabeth Rosenberg, Assistant Secretary for Terrorist Financing, Department of the Treasury (Above) sat staring at a computer in the bowels of the Treasury Department, urgently typing away.

As the top Treasury official for terrorist financing and financial crimes, Rosenberg had spent weeks in an unrelenting cycle of shuttling between secure rooms at the Treasury Building, hustling a few hundred yards away to attend meetings at the White House or jetting off on trips to hammer out technical details in European capitals.

Now, after days of subsisting primarily on Kirkland granola bars, she was drafting a classified memo laying out final decision points and considerations for Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to take to a National Security Council meeting just a few hours away.

As Rosenberg went through her edits to the document, a close aide looked over her shoulder, eating a bag of Cheetos.

Soon, a briefer walked directly toward Rosenberg with a sobering message : The first Russian missile had entered Ukrainian airspace.

A short time later, the briefer returned.

Now there were more than 30 strikes recorded, displayed on a heat map for Rosenberg to see.

Soon, the briefer returned a third time. There were now too many missiles to count.

"Zero day," as US officials had labeled the day of the Russian launch in their months of preparation, had arrived.

Rosenberg rushed to put the final touches on the memo that would serve as the basis of what would become the most expansive sanctions package ever to target an economy of Russia's size.

After months of arduous planning, overseas diplomatic negotiations and countless hours of technical discussions, the time had come to launch.

From hunting terrorist money to targeting Russia:

The Treasury Department's sanctions experts are overseen by its Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence.

Created after 9/11 to centralize the effort to disrupt terrorist networks and their financiers, the office has since evolved into a central tool of the government's national security apparatus.

Unlike many of its foreign counterparts, Treasury has its own built-in intelligence apparatus in the Office of Intelligence and Analysis, which means top Treasury officials have access to the same classified intelligence that drives decision-making for US military operations.

Over the years, the Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence's mission has evolved, from targeting terror networks, international crime syndicates, and weapons dealers to rogue states and more dynamic threats to US national security.

Nothing, however, has matched the effort deployed since Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Of the hundreds of people working inside the office, roughly two-thirds of them have been tasked to dealing with Russia, according to an official familiar with the unit's work.

Along with examining classified intelligence, Treasury officials pore over an array of raw economic and market intelligence to guide and inform their strategies, a rarity in the sanctions world, which traditionally focuses on the closed-off or isolated economies of malign actors.

Target-rich environment:

Combined with the unparalleled cooperation across the coalition of Western allies, officials say they have an unprecedented real-time view of Russia's activities.

"Because there's a significant prioritization of Russia concerns across all these jurisdictions in the world, what we have is a huge acceleration in our operational capacity to work together, to share information, to share intelligence and law enforcement information," said Rosenberg, who has been part of the team of US officials traversing the globe since the invasion to shore up compliance and enforcement of the sanctions with governments and the private sector.

Inside Treasury's Office of Foreign Asset Control, several officials on Gacki's team are focused solely on finding and preparing targets inside Russia.

The targeters, as they are called, track companies and supply chains, yachts and planes, foreign currency reserves and offshore assets.

Then they figure out the most devastating way to destroy them.

"It's a very target-rich environment, and you can't say that about every sanctions program," said Gacki, who has been with the office since 2008 and twice been awarded Treasury's highest honor for service.

For Gacki's team and their colleagues inside Treasury, the pace of the work has been relentless for months.

Each new round of sanctions, going faster and farther than any before, has immediately been followed by new directives to find new targets, new options, new strategies to create pain for Putin.

"I think the thing people here felt very keenly was that this was our moment -- that this was where we could actually make a difference in what we're doing," Gacki said. "It very much inspired people to new heights."

Story By | Phil Mattingly


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